WxSim & NWS Forecast Comparison
National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Morning Forecasts
| Updated: 04-02-26 at 5:00 am |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
| ± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 04-02-26 |
44 |
|
50 |
65 |
|
40 |
42 |
|
64 |
76 |
|
50 |
48 |
|
61 |
85 |
|
43 |
53 |
|
65 |
85 |
|
42 |
| 04-01-26 |
49 |
70.2 |
75 |
66 |
53.1 |
41 |
45 |
|
51 |
65 |
|
39 |
43 |
|
63 |
75 |
|
49 |
49 |
|
66 |
83 |
|
45 |
| 03-31-26 |
53 |
67.5 |
71 |
69 |
48.0 |
51 |
50 |
70.2 |
69 |
68 |
53.1 |
41 |
46 |
|
50 |
65 |
|
39 |
43 |
|
63 |
75 |
|
49 |
| 03-30-26 |
56 |
61.3 |
66 |
82 |
42.6 |
48 |
53 |
67.5 |
66 |
68 |
48.0 |
51 |
49 |
70.2 |
69 |
67 |
53.1 |
44 |
47 |
|
52 |
66 |
|
41 |
| 03-29-26 |
54 |
50.5 |
53 |
86 |
19.6 |
39 |
55 |
61.3 |
60 |
79 |
42.6 |
46 |
53 |
67.5 |
64 |
71 |
48.0 |
51 |
49 |
70.2 |
71 |
70 |
53.1 |
49 |
| 03-28-26 |
50 |
44.1 |
47 |
82 |
28.0 |
29 |
52 |
50.5 |
53 |
85 |
19.6 |
39 |
53 |
61.3 |
62 |
76 |
42.6 |
45 |
48 |
67.5 |
67 |
70 |
48.0 |
52 |
| 03-27-26 |
53 |
55.9 |
54 |
84 |
49.5 |
32 |
50 |
44.1 |
47 |
81 |
28.0 |
31 |
50 |
50.5 |
53 |
85 |
19.6 |
40 |
52 |
61.3 |
60 |
75 |
42.6 |
43 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
0 |
|
1 |
0 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
3 |
0 |
|
0 |
1 |
|
2 |
0 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
3 |
0 |
|
1 |
| % Succ |
|
|
16.7 |
|
|
16.7 |
20.0 |
|
60.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
25.0 |
|
50.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
|
|
33.3 |
| Ave Error |
8.9 |
|
3.4 |
38.0 |
|
9.7 |
9.7 |
|
1.9 |
37.9 |
|
8.2 |
11.1 |
|
2.0 |
33.9 |
|
8.7 |
16.7 |
|
0.9 |
23.8 |
|
2.8 |
| Net Error |
-5.8 |
|
2.8 |
38.0 |
|
-0.1 |
-6.7 |
|
0.3 |
37.9 |
|
3.3 |
-11.1 |
|
-0.4 |
33.9 |
|
4.2 |
-16.7 |
|
-0.3 |
23.8 |
|
0.1 |
| Std Dev |
6.2 |
|
0.9 |
18.2 |
|
6.3 |
5.4 |
|
0.4 |
13.1 |
|
3.6 |
5.0 |
|
0.4 |
10.0 |
|
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
Mid-Day Forecasts
| Updated: 04-02-26 at 5:00 am |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
| ± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 04-02-26 |
65 |
|
50 |
43 |
|
40 |
75 |
|
64 |
49 |
|
50 |
84 |
|
61 |
54 |
|
43 |
86 |
|
65 |
51 |
|
42 |
| 04-01-26 |
66 |
70.2 |
78 |
45 |
42.6 |
47 |
65 |
|
59 |
43 |
|
47 |
75 |
|
70 |
49 |
|
55 |
83 |
|
70 |
52 |
|
49 |
| 03-31-26 |
69 |
67.5 |
73 |
50 |
53.1 |
54 |
68 |
70.2 |
73 |
46 |
42.6 |
45 |
65 |
|
54 |
43 |
|
43 |
75 |
|
68 |
47 |
|
53 |
| 03-29-26 |
86 |
61.3 |
55 |
55 |
48.0 |
40 |
79 |
67.5 |
63 |
53 |
53.1 |
48 |
71 |
70.2 |
64 |
49 |
42.6 |
51 |
70 |
|
73 |
47 |
|
49 |
| 03-28-26 |
82 |
44.1 |
47 |
52 |
19.6 |
30 |
85 |
61.3 |
54 |
53 |
48.0 |
38 |
76 |
67.5 |
59 |
48 |
53.1 |
44 |
70 |
70.2 |
68 |
46 |
42.6 |
51 |
| 03-27-26 |
84 |
55.9 |
58 |
50 |
28.0 |
33 |
81 |
44.1 |
47 |
50 |
19.6 |
29 |
85 |
61.3 |
52 |
52 |
48.0 |
38 |
75 |
67.5 |
59 |
51 |
53.1 |
42 |
| 03-26-26 |
78 |
61.0 |
68 |
52 |
49.5 |
49 |
82 |
55.9 |
56 |
49 |
28.0 |
31 |
81 |
44.1 |
45 |
51 |
19.6 |
29 |
83 |
61.3 |
51 |
53 |
48.0 |
38 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
1 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
2 |
0 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
0 |
1 |
|
1 |
0 |
|
0 |
1 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
0 |
| % Succ |
16.7 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
33.3 |
|
|
20.0 |
20.0 |
|
0.0 |
25.0 |
|
25.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
33.3 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
| Ave Error |
18.9 |
|
5.3 |
11.6 |
|
4.9 |
20.1 |
|
3.5 |
12.0 |
|
6.0 |
17.5 |
|
6.2 |
11.7 |
|
9.2 |
9.8 |
|
7.0 |
3.5 |
|
9.8 |
| Net Error |
17.5 |
|
3.2 |
10.5 |
|
2.0 |
19.2 |
|
-1.2 |
11.9 |
|
-0.1 |
17.5 |
|
-5.8 |
9.2 |
|
-0.3 |
9.7 |
|
-7.0 |
2.1 |
|
-4.2 |
| Std Dev |
12.9 |
|
2.0 |
11.0 |
|
3.1 |
9.0 |
|
1.8 |
7.3 |
|
2.4 |
8.3 |
|
0.0 |
2.7 |
|
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
Evening Forecasts
| Updated: 04-01-26 at 5:00 pm |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
| ± 2.0° F |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 04-01-26 |
66 |
|
44 |
44 |
|
57 |
66 |
|
45 |
43 |
|
68 |
75 |
|
54 |
48 |
|
68 |
84 |
|
47 |
52 |
|
66 |
| 03-31-26 |
69 |
53.1 |
52 |
50 |
67.5 |
70 |
66 |
|
44 |
45 |
|
53 |
65 |
|
41 |
43 |
|
64 |
76 |
|
52 |
48 |
|
66 |
| 03-30-26 |
81 |
48.0 |
51 |
53 |
61.3 |
72 |
70 |
53.1 |
53 |
49 |
67.5 |
70 |
67 |
|
44 |
46 |
|
53 |
66 |
|
42 |
43 |
|
67 |
| 03-29-26 |
87 |
42.6 |
42 |
56 |
50.5 |
64 |
81 |
48.0 |
48 |
52 |
61.3 |
65 |
69 |
53.1 |
51 |
48 |
67.5 |
71 |
70 |
|
46 |
47 |
|
53 |
| 03-28-26 |
82 |
19.6 |
31 |
54 |
44.1 |
53 |
85 |
42.6 |
39 |
53 |
50.5 |
61 |
78 |
48.0 |
46 |
50 |
61.3 |
68 |
71 |
53.1 |
52 |
48 |
67.5 |
74 |
| 03-27-26 |
83 |
28.0 |
31 |
50 |
55.9 |
47 |
82 |
19.6 |
28 |
51 |
44.1 |
51 |
85 |
42.6 |
38 |
52 |
50.5 |
59 |
75 |
48.0 |
43 |
50 |
61.3 |
67 |
| 03-26-26 |
77 |
49.5 |
47 |
53 |
61.0 |
56 |
82 |
28.0 |
32 |
49 |
55.9 |
45 |
81 |
19.6 |
30 |
51 |
44.1 |
51 |
84 |
42.6 |
39 |
54 |
50.5 |
61 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
0 |
|
2 |
0 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
2 |
0 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
1 |
0 |
|
0 |
| % Succ |
|
|
33.3 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
40.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
25.0 |
25.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
33.3 |
|
|
0.0 |
| Ave Error |
39.7 |
|
3.6 |
9.2 |
|
8.3 |
41.7 |
|
3.2 |
8.8 |
|
6.9 |
37.4 |
|
4.8 |
9.8 |
|
6.4 |
28.8 |
|
3.2 |
11.4 |
|
7.6 |
| Net Error |
39.7 |
|
2.2 |
-4.1 |
|
3.6 |
41.7 |
|
1.7 |
-5.1 |
|
2.5 |
37.4 |
|
0.4 |
-5.6 |
|
6.4 |
28.8 |
|
-3.2 |
-9.1 |
|
7.6 |
| Std Dev |
15.2 |
|
3.6 |
4.0 |
|
3.4 |
11.8 |
|
2.0 |
5.2 |
|
2.9 |
10.8 |
|
1.3 |
4.9 |
|
1.5 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
Nighttime Forecasts
| Updated: 04-01-26 at 11:00 pm |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
| ± 2.0° F |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 04-01-26 |
44 |
|
43 |
66 |
|
54 |
43 |
|
43 |
75 |
|
67 |
48 |
|
53 |
84 |
|
65 |
52 |
|
45 |
82 |
|
65 |
| 03-31-26 |
50 |
53.1 |
52 |
66 |
67.5 |
72 |
45 |
|
44 |
65 |
|
52 |
43 |
|
40 |
76 |
|
62 |
48 |
|
50 |
83 |
|
66 |
| 03-30-26 |
53 |
48.0 |
47 |
70 |
61.3 |
69 |
49 |
53.1 |
50 |
67 |
67.5 |
67 |
46 |
|
42 |
66 |
|
51 |
43 |
|
40 |
75 |
|
62 |
| 03-29-26 |
56 |
42.6 |
40 |
81 |
50.5 |
64 |
52 |
48.0 |
48 |
69 |
61.3 |
65 |
48 |
53.1 |
51 |
70 |
67.5 |
69 |
47 |
|
48 |
65 |
|
55 |
| 03-28-26 |
54 |
19.6 |
26 |
85 |
44.1 |
52 |
53 |
42.6 |
37 |
78 |
50.5 |
58 |
50 |
48.0 |
47 |
71 |
61.3 |
68 |
48 |
53.1 |
51 |
69 |
67.5 |
74 |
| 03-27-26 |
50 |
28.0 |
25 |
82 |
55.9 |
44 |
51 |
19.6 |
28 |
85 |
44.1 |
51 |
52 |
42.6 |
38 |
75 |
50.5 |
59 |
50 |
48.0 |
45 |
67 |
61.3 |
68 |
| 03-26-26 |
53 |
49.5 |
47 |
82 |
61.0 |
55 |
49 |
28.0 |
31 |
81 |
55.9 |
46 |
51 |
19.6 |
30 |
84 |
44.1 |
51 |
54 |
42.6 |
39 |
76 |
50.5 |
56 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
0 |
|
2 |
1 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
1 |
0 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
0 |
1 |
|
0 |
| % Succ |
|
|
33.3 |
16.7 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
20.0 |
20.0 |
|
20.0 |
25.0 |
|
25.0 |
|
|
25.0 |
33.3 |
|
0.0 |
33.3 |
|
0.0 |
| Ave Error |
13.6 |
|
2.8 |
21.5 |
|
8.6 |
14.2 |
|
4.0 |
20.3 |
|
5.7 |
12.0 |
|
4.5 |
19.2 |
|
5.9 |
6.2 |
|
2.9 |
10.9 |
|
6.2 |
| Net Error |
12.5 |
|
-0.6 |
21.0 |
|
2.6 |
12.5 |
|
0.5 |
20.1 |
|
1.5 |
9.4 |
|
0.7 |
19.2 |
|
5.9 |
2.8 |
|
-2.9 |
10.9 |
|
6.2 |
| Std Dev |
10.7 |
|
1.8 |
13.2 |
|
3.0 |
6.6 |
|
2.0 |
11.0 |
|
2.6 |
3.4 |
|
1.2 |
8.3 |
|
2.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|