WxSim & NWS Forecast Comparison
National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Morning Forecasts
Updated: 07-04-22 at 6:00 am |
Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
07-04-22 |
62 |
|
84 |
82 |
|
65 |
65 |
|
84 |
82 |
|
69 |
69 |
|
88 |
85 |
|
66 |
65 |
|
83 |
79 |
|
66 |
07-03-22 |
70 |
84.6 |
86 |
83 |
69.3 |
62 |
62 |
|
83 |
81 |
|
65 |
65 |
|
85 |
82 |
|
70 |
68 |
|
83 |
81 |
|
61 |
07-02-22 |
84 |
84.9 |
84 |
67 |
71.1 |
68 |
84 |
84.6 |
85 |
64 |
69.3 |
62 |
82 |
|
83 |
68 |
|
66 |
81 |
|
83 |
66 |
|
65 |
07-01-22 |
84 |
83.8 |
68 |
69 |
64.0 |
89 |
83 |
84.9 |
70 |
67 |
71.1 |
84 |
83 |
84.6 |
68 |
65 |
69.3 |
85 |
82 |
|
62 |
66 |
|
82 |
06-30-22 |
85 |
62.8 |
85 |
67 |
84.7 |
66 |
89 |
83.8 |
88 |
69 |
64.0 |
69 |
82 |
84.9 |
86 |
68 |
71.1 |
67 |
80 |
84.6 |
86 |
66 |
69.3 |
65 |
06-29-22 |
81 |
80.8 |
83 |
65 |
58.8 |
63 |
84 |
62.8 |
84 |
67 |
84.7 |
66 |
85 |
83.8 |
88 |
69 |
64.0 |
72 |
82 |
84.9 |
80 |
66 |
71.1 |
66 |
06-28-22 |
80 |
80.4 |
80 |
60 |
58.5 |
59 |
81 |
80.8 |
82 |
65 |
58.8 |
63 |
84 |
62.8 |
85 |
67 |
84.7 |
66 |
85 |
83.8 |
88 |
69 |
64.0 |
72 |
Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
# Succ |
4 |
|
3 |
1 |
|
1 |
3 |
|
2 |
0 |
|
0 |
2 |
|
1 |
0 |
|
0 |
1 |
|
1 |
0 |
|
0 |
% Succ |
66.7 |
|
50.0 |
16.7 |
|
16.7 |
60.0 |
|
40.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
50.0 |
|
25.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
33.3 |
|
33.3 |
|
|
0.0 |
Ave Error |
6.4 |
|
7.2 |
8.0 |
|
9.8 |
5.8 |
|
8.4 |
7.7 |
|
9.6 |
6.7 |
|
11.0 |
7.5 |
|
11.6 |
2.9 |
|
3.5 |
4.5 |
|
5.8 |
Net Error |
1.1 |
|
1.5 |
0.8 |
|
0.1 |
4.8 |
|
2.4 |
-3.2 |
|
-0.8 |
4.5 |
|
2.7 |
-5.0 |
|
0.2 |
-2.1 |
|
0.2 |
-1.1 |
|
-0.5 |
Std Dev |
8.4 |
|
8.1 |
5.1 |
|
8.1 |
2.9 |
|
5.0 |
2.3 |
|
2.7 |
2.6 |
|
2.8 |
1.6 |
|
2.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
Mid-Day Forecasts
Updated: 07-04-22 at 12:00 pm |
Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
07-04-22 |
82 |
|
84 |
65 |
|
65 |
82 |
|
84 |
69 |
|
69 |
85 |
|
84 |
65 |
|
66 |
79 |
|
81 |
66 |
|
66 |
07-03-22 |
83 |
84.6 |
85 |
62 |
59.4 |
61 |
81 |
|
83 |
65 |
|
64 |
82 |
|
81 |
68 |
|
68 |
81 |
|
83 |
65 |
|
62 |
07-02-22 |
84 |
84.9 |
88 |
67 |
69.3 |
68 |
84 |
84.6 |
85 |
64 |
59.4 |
62 |
82 |
|
83 |
68 |
|
67 |
81 |
|
81 |
66 |
|
63 |
07-01-22 |
84 |
83.8 |
86 |
69 |
71.1 |
68 |
83 |
84.9 |
81 |
67 |
69.3 |
67 |
83 |
84.6 |
85 |
65 |
59.4 |
62 |
82 |
|
84 |
66 |
|
66 |
06-30-22 |
85 |
84.7 |
87 |
67 |
64.0 |
67 |
89 |
83.8 |
88 |
69 |
71.1 |
69 |
82 |
84.9 |
86 |
68 |
69.3 |
67 |
80 |
84.6 |
84 |
66 |
59.4 |
64 |
06-29-22 |
81 |
80.8 |
84 |
65 |
62.8 |
65 |
84 |
84.7 |
86 |
67 |
64.0 |
67 |
85 |
83.8 |
88 |
69 |
71.1 |
71 |
82 |
84.9 |
85 |
66 |
69.3 |
68 |
06-28-22 |
80 |
80.4 |
80 |
60 |
58.8 |
60 |
81 |
80.8 |
82 |
65 |
62.8 |
63 |
84 |
84.7 |
85 |
67 |
64.0 |
65 |
85 |
83.8 |
86 |
69 |
71.1 |
70 |
Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
# Succ |
6 |
|
2 |
1 |
|
3 |
4 |
|
3 |
0 |
|
1 |
3 |
|
3 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
|
2 |
0 |
|
2 |
% Succ |
100.0 |
|
33.3 |
16.7 |
|
50.0 |
80.0 |
|
60.0 |
|
|
20.0 |
75.0 |
|
75.0 |
25.0 |
|
50.0 |
33.3 |
|
66.7 |
|
|
66.7 |
Ave Error |
0.6 |
|
1.9 |
2.2 |
|
2.1 |
1.7 |
|
2.2 |
2.8 |
|
2.0 |
1.6 |
|
1.5 |
3.0 |
|
1.5 |
2.9 |
|
1.0 |
4.0 |
|
2.3 |
Net Error |
-0.4 |
|
1.8 |
0.8 |
|
0.6 |
0.4 |
|
0.6 |
1.1 |
|
0.3 |
-1.0 |
|
1.5 |
1.3 |
|
0.3 |
-2.1 |
|
0.6 |
0.4 |
|
0.7 |
Std Dev |
0.5 |
|
1.0 |
0.4 |
|
0.7 |
1.6 |
|
1.4 |
0.9 |
|
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
0.5 |
1.3 |
|
0.6 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
Evening Forecasts
Updated: 07-03-22 at 6:00 pm |
Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
± 2.0° F |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
07-03-22 |
83 |
|
63 |
61 |
|
84 |
81 |
|
64 |
64 |
|
83 |
82 |
|
69 |
70 |
|
87 |
84 |
|
64 |
64 |
|
84 |
07-02-22 |
82 |
69.3 |
67 |
70 |
84.9 |
84 |
82 |
|
61 |
64 |
|
82 |
81 |
|
66 |
67 |
|
82 |
82 |
|
64 |
67 |
|
78 |
07-01-22 |
69 |
71.1 |
69 |
82 |
83.8 |
85 |
67 |
69.3 |
68 |
83 |
84.9 |
85 |
64 |
|
62 |
81 |
|
82 |
67 |
|
66 |
81 |
|
78 |
06-30-22 |
67 |
64.0 |
68 |
84 |
84.7 |
89 |
69 |
71.1 |
70 |
83 |
83.8 |
84 |
67 |
69.3 |
68 |
82 |
84.9 |
85 |
65 |
|
62 |
83 |
|
82 |
06-29-22 |
65 |
62.8 |
63 |
85 |
80.8 |
85 |
67 |
64.0 |
65 |
89 |
84.7 |
87 |
71 |
71.1 |
71 |
83 |
83.8 |
83 |
69 |
69.3 |
69 |
82 |
84.9 |
81 |
06-28-22 |
62 |
58.8 |
62 |
81 |
80.4 |
84 |
65 |
62.8 |
64 |
84 |
80.8 |
85 |
67 |
64.0 |
66 |
85 |
84.7 |
86 |
69 |
71.1 |
71 |
84 |
83.8 |
83 |
06-27-22 |
61 |
58.5 |
61 |
80 |
73.9 |
79 |
61 |
58.8 |
60 |
81 |
80.4 |
82 |
64 |
62.8 |
62 |
84 |
80.8 |
85 |
66 |
64.0 |
64 |
84 |
84.7 |
87 |
Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
# Succ |
0 |
|
1 |
3 |
|
2 |
0 |
|
5 |
3 |
|
3 |
2 |
|
4 |
2 |
|
3 |
2 |
|
3 |
2 |
|
1 |
% Succ |
|
|
16.7 |
50.0 |
|
33.3 |
|
|
100.0 |
60.0 |
|
60.0 |
50.0 |
|
100.0 |
50.0 |
|
75.0 |
66.7 |
|
100.0 |
66.7 |
|
33.3 |
Ave Error |
4.3 |
|
2.4 |
4.7 |
|
3.2 |
2.4 |
|
1.2 |
2.2 |
|
1.7 |
1.7 |
|
1.1 |
1.8 |
|
1.6 |
1.5 |
|
0.1 |
1.3 |
|
2.3 |
Net Error |
3.6 |
|
0.9 |
-1.1 |
|
2.9 |
0.6 |
|
0.2 |
1.1 |
|
1.7 |
0.5 |
|
0.0 |
-0.1 |
|
1.2 |
-0.1 |
|
-0.1 |
-1.1 |
|
-0.8 |
Std Dev |
3.7 |
|
1.2 |
4.9 |
|
1.4 |
0.3 |
|
0.1 |
1.1 |
|
1.0 |
0.3 |
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
|
0.8 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
Nighttime Forecasts
Updated: 07-03-22 at 11:00 pm |
Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
± 2.0° F |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
07-03-22 |
61 |
|
62 |
81 |
|
84 |
64 |
|
65 |
82 |
|
82 |
70 |
|
69 |
84 |
|
85 |
64 |
|
63 |
79 |
|
82 |
07-02-22 |
70 |
69.3 |
67 |
82 |
84.9 |
86 |
64 |
|
61 |
81 |
|
82 |
67 |
|
65 |
82 |
|
82 |
67 |
|
69 |
81 |
|
81 |
07-01-22 |
69 |
71.1 |
70 |
82 |
83.8 |
85 |
67 |
69.3 |
68 |
83 |
84.9 |
85 |
64 |
|
62 |
81 |
|
82 |
67 |
|
67 |
81 |
|
81 |
06-30-22 |
67 |
64.0 |
68 |
84 |
84.7 |
89 |
69 |
71.1 |
70 |
83 |
83.8 |
84 |
67 |
69.3 |
68 |
82 |
84.9 |
85 |
65 |
|
62 |
83 |
|
82 |
06-29-22 |
67 |
62.8 |
65 |
85 |
80.8 |
85 |
67 |
64.0 |
66 |
89 |
84.7 |
88 |
71 |
71.1 |
70 |
83 |
83.8 |
85 |
69 |
69.3 |
69 |
82 |
84.9 |
77 |
06-28-22 |
62 |
58.8 |
61 |
81 |
80.4 |
82 |
65 |
62.8 |
64 |
84 |
80.8 |
86 |
67 |
64.0 |
66 |
85 |
84.7 |
88 |
69 |
71.1 |
71 |
84 |
83.8 |
79 |
06-27-22 |
61 |
58.5 |
61 |
80 |
73.9 |
81 |
61 |
58.8 |
60 |
81 |
80.4 |
83 |
64 |
62.8 |
62 |
84 |
80.8 |
85 |
66 |
64.0 |
64 |
84 |
84.7 |
87 |
Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
# Succ |
1 |
|
1 |
3 |
|
3 |
0 |
|
5 |
3 |
|
2 |
2 |
|
4 |
2 |
|
2 |
2 |
|
3 |
2 |
|
0 |
% Succ |
16.7 |
|
16.7 |
50.0 |
|
50.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
60.0 |
|
40.0 |
50.0 |
|
100.0 |
50.0 |
|
50.0 |
66.7 |
|
100.0 |
66.7 |
|
0.0 |
Ave Error |
2.6 |
|
2.4 |
2.7 |
|
3.3 |
2.4 |
|
1.4 |
2.2 |
|
2.3 |
1.7 |
|
1.3 |
1.8 |
|
2.2 |
1.5 |
|
0.1 |
1.3 |
|
5.0 |
Net Error |
1.9 |
|
1.3 |
0.9 |
|
3.3 |
0.6 |
|
0.4 |
1.1 |
|
2.3 |
0.5 |
|
-0.3 |
-0.1 |
|
2.2 |
-0.1 |
|
-0.1 |
-1.1 |
|
-3.5 |
Std Dev |
1.1 |
|
0.8 |
1.4 |
|
1.5 |
0.3 |
|
0.3 |
1.1 |
|
1.4 |
0.3 |
|
0.0 |
0.6 |
|
1.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|